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Volume 39, Issue 2, Pages 123-130 (February 2002)

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Persistence of delays in presentation and treatment for patients with acute myocardial infarction: The GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III experience☆☆

For the Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO) InvestigatorsW.Brian Gibler, MD*, Paul W. Armstrong, MD, E.Magnus Ohman, MD§, W.Douglas Weaver, MD, Amanda L. Stebbins, MS§, Joel M. Gore, MD, L.Kristin Newby, MD§, Robert M. Califf, MD§, Eric J. Topol, MD#

Received 12 June 2000; received in revised form 28 August 2001; accepted 30 October 2001.

Refers to article:
Cardiology and emergency medicine: United We Stand, divided we fall
W.Brian Gibler, Eric J. Topol, Brian Holroyd, Paul W. Armstrong
Annals of Emergency Medicine
February 2002 (Vol. 39, Issue 2, Pages 164-167)
Abstract | Full Text | Full-Text PDF (54 KB)

Abstract 

Study Objective: Early treatment with fibrinolytic therapy substantially decreases mortality in acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We examined delays to hospital arrival and treatment in 2 large, multinational, randomized trials of fibrinolytic therapy: Global Utilization of Streptokinase and Tissue Plasminogen Activator for Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO-I) and Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO-III). Methods: We evaluated delays to hospital arrival, time from arrival to treatment, and total time to treatment in the 27,849 US patients with AMI enrolled in GUSTO-I or GUSTO-III. Time intervals were defined prospectively for total time to treatment and symptom onset to hospital arrival as 0 to 2 hours (early), 2 to 4 hours, or more than 4 hours (late). Time to fibrinolytic therapy once inhospital was prospectively defined as 0 to 1 hour (early) or more than 1 hour (late). Socioeconomic data were also obtained from patients enrolled in the GUSTO-III trial. Results: In GUSTO-III, as in GUSTO-I, patients who arrived at the hospital later were older (64 years versus 60 years; P =.001) and more often female (35% versus 27%; P =.001), black (6% versus 4%; P =.02), and diabetic (25% versus 16%; P =.001). These groups also received treatment later once inhospital, as did patients with hypertension (48% versus 42%; P =.001), previous angina (46% versus 36%; P =.001), and previous infarction (21% versus 16%; P =.001). Higher levels of education, professional occupations, and private health insurance were associated with significantly earlier arrival and treatment. Although inhospital time to treatment has decreased (66 minutes to 48 minutes; P <.0001), time to arrival has not changed over the past 7 years, averaging 84 minutes. Conclusion: Certain groups of patients with AMI, including the elderly, women, diabetic patients, and minorities, exhibit delays to hospital arrival and treatment in the emergency setting. Patients with higher educational levels, professional occupations, and private health insurance arrive at the hospital sooner and receive treatment more quickly. Patients and health care providers must be educated regarding high-risk populations for delay to maximize benefit from fibrinolytic therapy. [Gibler WB, Armstrong PW, Ohman EM, Weaver WD, Stebbins AL, Gore JM, Newby LK, Califf RM, Topol EJ, for the Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO) Investigators. Persistence of delays in presentation and treatment for patients with acute myocardial infarction: the GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III experience. Ann Emerg Med. February 2002;39:123-130.]

Article Outline

Abstract

Introduction

Materials and methods

Results

Discussion

Acknowledgment

Detailed statistical analysis

References

Copyright

See editorial, p. 164 .

Introduction 

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A delay in receiving thrombolytic therapy for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is associated with diminished treatment effect and increased mortality.1 Although treatment administered up to 12 hours after symptom onset has proved beneficial, maximum benefit is achieved when therapy is provided within the first few hours.2 Over the past decade, substantial public health efforts have successfully educated health care providers about the importance of timely treatment with thrombolytic therapy.3 As a result, the time required to identify and treat patients with myocardial infarction in the emergency setting has been nearly halved.4

Despite such success in decreasing time to treatment in the emergency department, no similar reduction in time from symptom onset to patient arrival at the hospital has been observed. In a study of all 41,021 patients enrolled in the Global Utilization of Streptokinase and Tissue Plasminogen Activator for Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO-I) trial, certain patient groups arrived to the hospital late in the course of their AMI.5 Female, elderly, diabetic, and hypertensive patients were found to be susceptible to delays in hospital arrival and treatment in the ED.

We hypothesized that improvement in the inhospital time to treatment for US patients with AMI would be associated with a similar decrease in the delay from symptom onset to patient arrival to the hospital. Given the publication of national guidelines on time to thrombolytic treatment and rigorous public education initiatives since 1990, the Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Coronary Arteries (GUSTO-III) trial, completed in February 1997, afforded us a unique opportunity to examine this hypothesis. The parallel designs of these 2 studies also allowed us to study 2 large and very similar patient groups separated by several years in which awareness and treatment of myocardial infarction were rapidly evolving. We sought to isolate the factors associated with both out-of-hospital and inhospital delays. Furthermore, through socioeconomic information obtained in the GUSTO-III trial, we examined the impact of educational level, occupation, health care insurance status, and living alone on time delays.

Materials and methods 

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Our analysis population consisted of the patients enrolled in the United States in the GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III trials. This study was approved by the institutional review boards of all participating clinical sites. GUSTO-I enrolled 41,021 patients in a multicenter, international trial evaluating 4 fibrinolytic regimens of streptokinase and tissue plasminogen activator. Complete methods for the GUSTO-I trial have been published.6 In this trial, patients were randomized to 1 of 4 fibrinolytic regimens if they presented within 6 hours after symptom onset and had chest pain lasting 20 minutes or more. In addition, patients must have had no contraindications to thrombolysis and must have met electrocardiographic criteria for infarction (ST-segment elevation ≥0.1 mV in ≥2 limb leads or ≥0.2 mV in at least 2 contiguous precordial leads). The GUSTO-III trial enrolled 15,060 patients; complete methods have been published.7 Inclusion criteria for patients in GUSTO-III were identical to GUSTO-I. This randomized, controlled clinical trial compared 2 different fibrinolytic regimens: alteplase versus reteplase. Electrocardiographic criteria for determining infarction were similar to those in GUSTO-I. Because practice patterns vary substantially between countries, our evaluation was limited to the 23,105 GUSTO-I patients and 4,744 GUSTO-III patients enrolled in the United States.

In GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III, 3 time variables were defined prospectively: (1) time from symptom onset to hospital arrival (out-of-hospital delay), (2) time from hospital arrival to administration of thrombolytic therapy (inhospital delay), and (3) total time from symptom onset to treatment. The temporal frames of 0 to 2 hours, 2 to 4 hours, and more than 4 hours were based on a prespecified analysis in GUSTO-I for time to hospital arrival from symptom onset and total time to treatment. For GUSTO-III, time from arrival to treatment was prospectively divided into 2 groups reflecting early treatment (<1 hour) and late treatment (>1 hour).

For these analyses, the time of symptom onset was provided by the patient, or a family member if the patient was unable to communicate. The time of patient arrival to hospital was derived from hospital records, as was time of administration of fibrinolytic therapy.

For the GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III trials, information on baseline characteristics including age, sex, race, height, and weight were prospectively collected. We prospectively defined the following baseline characteristics for our analysis of their association with time to hospital arrival: history of hypertension, diabetes, smoking, hypercholesterolemia, family history, history of angina, myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass grafting, and angioplasty. Physical examination data, including pulse rate, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, presence of congestive heart failure, and anatomic location of the infarction were also gathered.

In GUSTO-III only, socioeconomic data were prospectively obtained to identify the impact of education level, occupation, payer status, and living alone on time to hospital arrival and time to treatment.

Descriptive statistics, including percentages for discrete variables and medians with 25th and 75th percentiles for continuous variables, were used for baseline characteristic determination and time to treatment data for GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III patients. Statistical testing was performed using the χ2 test for categoric variables and Cox modeling for continuous variables. A P value less than .05 was considered significant.

Because enrollment criteria and baseline data in GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III were identical, these databases were combined to maximize power for the analysis. No distributional assumptions were made for the dependent variables, time to hospital arrival, and time from hospital arrival to treatment.

On the basis of the GUSTO-I analysis that identified the principal features associated with delay in presentation, we performed a univariate analysis that identified age, sex, race, and diabetes as independent predictors of delay in hospital arrival for patients. Similarly, the patient's age, sex, race, pulse rate, previous angina, previous infarction, previous bypass surgery, and infarct location were found to be predictive of delay in time to treatment after hospital arrival. We then used stepwise regression modeling to evaluate the influence of socioeconomic factors on delay obtained in GUSTO-III. The socioeconomic factors that were evaluated included years of education, occupation, type of insurance, and living alone.

Results 

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The baseline characteristics of patients enrolled in GUSTO-III were similar to those of patients enrolled in GUSTO-I. Thirty-day mortality was also similar for the 2 groups (Table 1).

Table 1.

GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III baseline characteristics and mortality.*

CharacteristicGUSTO-I (n=23,105)GUSTO-III (n=4,744)
Age, y61.1 (51.5, 69.8)61.5 (51.5, 71.2)
Female sex6,278 (27.2)1,346 (29.7)
Weight, kg80.2 (70.1, 91)81.8 (71, 93)
Height, cm172.7 (165.1, 180)172 (165, 179)
Race
Black1,113 (4.8)222 (4.9)
Other962 (4.2)199 (4.4)
White20,962 (91.0)4,108 (90.7)
Hypertension9,821 (42.7)1,994 (44.0)
Diabetes mellitus3,820 (16.6)819 (18.1)
Hypercholesterolemia8,473 (37.9)1,873 (41.5)
Previous myocardial infarction3,943 (17.1)809 (17.9)
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg126 (110, 142)133 (116, 150)
Pulse rate, beats/min74 (63, 86)74 (62, 87)
Killip class
I19,950 (87.1)4,092 (91.4)
II2,507 (11.0)334 (7.5)
III250 (1.1)32 (0.71)
IV187 (0.82)21 (0.47)
Anterior infarction8,591 (37.4)1,994 (44.0)
Inferior infarction13,694 (59.6)2,385 (52.6)
Inhospital mortality1,495 (6.5)246 (5.4)
Mortality by 30 d1,562 (6.8)286 (6.3)
*Results are expressed as numbers (percentages) or median (25th, 75th percentiles).

The time from symptom onset to hospital arrival did not change during the 7-year period from the start of GUSTO-I in 1990 to the end of GUSTO-III in 1997 (Table 2).

Table 2.

Comparison of the GUSTO-I trial to the GUSTO-III trial: Time from symptom onset to hospital arrival, hospital arrival to treatment, and time from symptom onset to treatment.*

Interval TimesGUSTO-I (n=23,105)GUSTO-III (n=4,744)P Value
Enrollment years1990–19931995–1997
Symptom onset to hospital arrival, h1.4 (0.9, 2.3)1.4 (0.8, 2.3).09
Hospital arrival to treatment, h1.1 (0.8, 1.5)0.8 (0.6, 1.2)<.0001
Total time to treatment, h2.7 (1.9, 3.8)2.3 (1.6, 3.3)<.0001
*Data are median (25th, 75th percentiles).
The time from arrival to treatment with fibrinolytic therapy did decrease during this period, resulting in a decrease in total time from symptom onset to administration of therapy. Figure 1 provides a cumulative distribution plot of time from symptom onset to hospital arrival for GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III separately and with the 2 studies combined. Figure 2 shows the cumulative distribution plot of times from hospital presentation to treatment, reflecting the earlier treatment time for patients in GUSTO-III compared with GUSTO-I.

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Fig. 1. Cumulative distribution plots of time from symptom onset to hospital arrival for the GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III trials.



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Fig. 2. Cumulative distribution plots of time from hospital arrival to treatment for the GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III trials.


The time from symptom onset to treatment is shorter for patients treated in GUSTO-III compared with GUSTO-I, reflecting reduced inhospital time to treatment; however, the symptom onset to hospital arrival curves are nearly identical for the 2 trials, suggesting no change in patient behavior during the 7-year period in which the 2 trials were conducted (Figure 3).

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Fig. 3. Cumulative distribution plots of time from symptom onset to treatment for the GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III trials.


The GUSTO-III data revealed a patient profile similar to GUSTO-I. Increased age, female sex, non-white race, hypertension, and diabetes were all associated with a longer time from onset of symptoms to treatment. Conversely, patients who smoked or had an elevated cholesterol level experienced a shorter total time from onset of symptoms to fibrinolytic therapy. Thirty-day mortality rates in GUSTO-III are comparable with those in GUSTO-I, suggesting that increased time to treatment, for any reason, resulted in increased mortality (Table 3).

Table 3.

The GUSTO-III trial: Characteristics associated with delay from symptom onset to hospital arrival with associated inhospital, 30-day mortality (early, 0 to 2 hours; late, >4 hours).*

Characteristic0 to 2 Hours (n=3,087)2 to 4 Hours (n=1,146)>4 Hours (n=324)P Value
Age, y60 (50, 70)64 (53, 73)64 (55, 74).001
Men736665.001
Race
White928990.02
Black476.02
Diabetes162025.001
Current smoker464237.005
Previous angina191614.006
Previous infarction191614.001
Previous angioplasty1186.001
Inhospital mortality578.0001
Mortality (30 d)599.001
*Data are median (25th, 75th percentiles) or percentage of patients. P values for comparison of early versus late presenters to hospital.

In GUSTO-III, patient characteristics associated with greater delay in the time from symptom onset to hospital arrival were similar to those in GUSTO-I (Table 3). In GUSTO-III, increased age (64 years versus 60 years; P =.001), female sex (35% versus 27%; P =.001), black race (6% versus 4%; P =.02), and diabetes (25% versus 16%; P =.001) were associated with delay in hospital presentation. Current smokers (46% versus 37%; P =.005) and patients with known coronary artery disease (previous angina [19% versus 14%; P =.006], infarction [19% versus 14%; P =.001], or angioplasty [11% versus 6%; P =.001]) tended to arrive at the hospital earlier. The finding that patients with preexisting angina arrived earlier to hospital in GUSTO-III did not parallel the GUSTO-I results, in which patients with previous angina tended to come to the hospital later. Patients with previous infarction or angioplasty, however, arrived earlier in both GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III. Inhospital and 30-day mortality rates demonstrated that a delay in arrival to the hospital is associated with increased mortality risk (8% versus 5% inhospital, P =.0001; 9% versus 5% 30-day, P =.001).

When socioeconomic variables were added to this model, black race was no longer retained in the model and was not a significantly indicated risk for out-of-hospital delay. Educational status, however, was now a risk factor for delay in presentation. Patients who had completed college were significantly more likely (30% versus 26%; P =.002) to come to the hospital earlier (median difference 9 minutes) than patients who did not complete high school or who completed high school but not college.

Whereas time to treatment inhospital decreased from 1990 to 1997, significant delays in therapy were evident for many patient groups. In GUSTO-III, increased age (64 years versus 60 years; P =.0001), female sex (34% versus 27%; P =.001), black race (7% versus 4%; P =.001), hypertension (48% versus 42%; P =.001), diabetes (21% versus 16%; P =.001), previous angina (46% versus 36%; P =.001), and previous infarction (21% versus 16%; P =.001) were associated with delays in treatment (Table 4).

Table 4.

The GUSTO-III trial: Characteristics associated with delays in treatment after hospital arrival with associated inhospital, 30-day mortality.*

Characteristic0 to 1 Hour (n=3,034)>1 Hour (n=1,514)P Value
Age, y60 (51, 70)64 (53, 73).0001
Men7366.001
Race
White9288.001
Black47.001
Hypertension4248.001
Diabetes1621.001
Hypercholesterolemia4339.006
Current smoker4738.001
Previous angina3646.001
Previous infarction1621.001
Inhospital mortality48.001
Mortality (30 d)59.001
*Data are median (25th, 75th percentiles) or percentage of patients. P values for comparison of patients treated in the first hour after hospital arrival versus later.
Patients with increased cholesterol levels (43% versus 39%; P =.006) and current smokers (47% versus 38%; P =.001) were treated earlier. Delay in treatment more than 1 hour after hospital arrival was associated with higher mortality rates inhospital (8% versus 4%; P =.001) and at 30 days (9% versus 5%; P =.001).

A stepwise regression model combining the US cohorts of GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III identified age, systolic blood pressure, pulse rate, previous infarction, previous bypass surgery, previous angina, sex, race, and infarct location as predictive of time to treatment after hospital arrival. Men were treated 7 minutes faster than women. Patients with previous angina, previous infarction, and previous bypass surgery had delayed therapy (median differences were 5.5, 4.8, and 6.0 minutes, respectively). Older patients were treated later, as were black patients (median delay of 12 minutes). Patients with inferior and anterior infarcts were treated 15 minutes earlier than patients with other infarct sites.

Using GUSTO-III's socioeconomic data, we developed a new model containing the predictive factors of pulse rate, sex, previous angina, black race, infarct location, and whether the patient received public insurance. Patients with public insurance were treated, on average, 6 minutes later than those with private insurance.

Patients with higher educational levels had decreased time from symptom onset to hospital arrival (30% versus 26%; P =.001; Table 5), as did individuals with management or professional occupations (28% versus 21%; P =.001).

Table 5.

Socioeconomic factors associated with patient delays from symptom onset to hospital arrival.*

Socioeconomic Factor0 to 2 Hours (n=3,087)2 to 4 Hours (n=1,146)>4 Hours (n=324)P Value
High school completed746870.001
College/university completed302426.002
Years of school completed12 (12, 14)12 (11, 13)12 (11, 14)NS
Current/principal past occupation
Clerical/sales192120NS
Craftsman999NS
Homemaker/housewife101112NS
Laborer353838NS
Management/professional282121.001
Type of insurance
Private646056.003
Public364444.001
Other223NS
None768NS
Lives alone182123.006
*Data are median (25th, 75th percentiles) or percentage of patients. P values for comparison of early versus late presenters to hospital.

NS, Not significant.

Having private insurance was associated with an earlier response to symptoms of AMI (64% versus 56%; P =.003), whereas patients with public insurance arrived later (36% versus 44%; P =.001). Living alone also resulted in a later arrival to the hospital compared with patients living with family or friends (18% versus 23%; P =.006).

Patients with at least a high school education were treated sooner once in the emergency setting than those without this degree (Table 6).

Table 6.

Socioeconomic factors associated with delays in treatment after hospital arrival.*

Socioeconomic Factor0 to 1 Hour (n=3,034)>1 Hour (n=1,514)P Value
High school completed7369.017
College/university completed2927NS
Years of school completed12 (12, 14)12 (11, 14)NS
Current/principal past occupation
Clerical/sales1921NS
Craftsman98NS
Homemaker/housewife912.004
Laborer3636NS
Management/professional2423.026
Type of insurance
Private6558.001
Public3645.001
Other22NS
None86.013
Lives alone1921NS
*Data are median (25th, 75th percentiles) or percentage of patients. P values for comparison of patients treated in the first hour after hospital arrival versus later.

NS, Not significant.

Homemakers or housewives received delayed treatment (9% versus 12%; P =.004), whereas individuals with a management or professional background experienced more rapid treatment (24% versus 23%; P =.026).

Private insurance was associated with more rapid delivery of therapy inhospital (65% versus 58%; P =.001), whereas patients with public insurance tended to have delays in therapy (36% versus 45%; P =.001). Individuals without insurance were treated earlier as well (8% versus 6%; P =.013).

Discussion 

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Early treatment of patients with AMI is critical to maximizing benefit.8, 9, 10 Our study sought to identify factors associated with delays to hospital arrival as well as inhospital administration of thrombolytic therapy. In the GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III trials, the median time of delay from symptom onset to hospital arrival was 1.4 hours. During the 7 years between these 2 studies, despite widespread knowledge of the benefits of thrombolytic therapy among health care providers and extensive public education programs about AMI, early arrival to the hospital and treatment once in the hospital have not been realized. In particular, the same groups identified in a previous study of GUSTO-I (conducted from 1990 through 1993) as susceptible to delay (elderly, women, patients with diabetes, and minorities) continue to arrive late to the hospital.5 Other studies have confirmed that these patients are at risk for delay.11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17

Education of patients identified as having increased risk for development of atherosclerosis and subsequent myocardial infarction would appear prudent.18 The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, through the National Heart Attack Alert Program, has supported educational initiatives through a mass media project: Rapid Early Action for Coronary Treatment (REACT).19 Targeting such patients individually, through their family physician or pharmacist, may be more effective than mass media projects, which may not provide focus for patients at high risk. It would appear that some benefit of education was obtained in the years between the 2 trials for patients with previous angina. Although patients with pre-existing angina experienced a delay in hospital presentation in GUSTO I, this was not observed in GUSTO III.

Ten years ago, initial studies evaluating time to treatment once the patient arrived at the hospital identified a typical 90-minute delay before infusion of fibrinolytic therapy.20, 21 Although substantial progress has been realized since then, national registries still identify delays of nearly 40 minutes.4 In GUSTO-I, initiated in 1990, the median time from hospital arrival to treatment was 66 minutes. This period had decreased to 48 minutes when measured in GUSTO-III, which was completed 7 years later.

Patients with previous angina, infarction, and angioplasty tended to present to the hospital earlier with AMI. Paradoxically, these patients with known coronary artery disease tended to have delays in delivery of fibrinolytic therapy. There are multiple possible reasons for this inhospital delay in therapy. Patients presenting with pre-existing coronary artery disease often have baseline electrocardiographic abnormalities that can confound the diagnosis of an acute injury. Typically, the old ECG or the patient's medical records, which describe a previous procedure or hospitalization, must then be obtained from another area of the institution or from another hospital system entirely; this can serve as a significant source of delay in diagnosis. In a similar fashion, contacting the patient's primary care physician or cardiologist for consultation while the patient is in the ED is often necessary for these patients and can also retard treatment.

One finding of this study was that certain groups of patients are especially prone to experience inhospital treatment delays. Among these are patient subgroups at risk for out-of-hospital delay as well, including the elderly, women, minorities, and patients with diabetes.5, 13, 22 Although multiple studies have identified female patients as prone to delays in therapy,13, 18 the other groups have received less attention. Elderly patients with diabetes are known to have atypical symptoms associated with AMI.23, 24 These less typical symptoms serve to confound the clinician in the emergency setting caring for these patients, thus increasing the likelihood of a delay in diagnosis and treatment once the patient arrives at the hospital. Further education of health care providers is essential to prospectively identify these high-risk groups and subsequently to pursue approaches to decrease time to treatment for these patients.

The GUSTO-III study prospectively identified the influence of socioeconomic factors on time to hospital arrival and time to treatment. A patient's educational level, occupation, health insurance, and the presence of family or friends in the home appear to affect health care-seeking behavior. Health care provider behavior appears to be influenced as well. A higher educational level and occupations defined as management or professional are associated with earlier times to hospital arrival and treatment. The more highly educated patient may be aware of the symptoms and risk factors associated with AMI, prompting earlier hospital arrival. Once in hospital, the patient with a higher educational level may better articulate this symptom complex, allowing the treating physician to make a more rapid decision.

Similarly, in patients with symptoms of myocardial infarction, having private health insurance is linked with earlier arrival to the hospital and more rapid administration of fibrinolytic therapy compared with public insurance.25, 26, 27 Living alone also led to a delay in arrival, perhaps as a result of the lack of family or friends necessary to convince a patient of the severity or importance of their symptoms. Other factors, such as education level, availability of a telephone, or income level could also influence the behavior of the patient living alone.

This study evaluating nearly 28,000 patients with myocardial infarction treated in the United States during the GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III trials identifies a number of patients at risk for not receiving thrombolytic therapy early in the course of their infarction. Significant delays in hospital arrival and treatment still exist nearly a decade after the original GUSTO-I trial, suggesting that further effort is necessary to educate patients and health care providers. Although special educational efforts should be targeted to those individuals known to be at high risk for delays in hospital arrival and treatment, such as women, the elderly, and those with less formal education, patients who are not members of these particular groups also suffer delays and require education about AMI.28 The time-dependent nature of thrombolytic treatment for myocardial infarction represents a critical public health education challenge.

Acknowledgements 

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Biostatistical information is included in the full-text, online version of this article. Access the Annals Web site at www.mosby.com/AnnEmergMed . Information is also available at ACEP's home page at www.acep.org/AnnEmergMed .

Author contributions: WBG, PWA, EMO, and WDW conceived the study, designed the analysis, and supervised the conduct of the study. ALS and RMC managed the data and provided data analyses. JMG and LKN helped to recruit centers, enroll patients, and manage data. RMC and EJT obtained research funding for the trial, conceived of the primary trial, and recruited sites. WBG drafted the manuscript and all authors contributed substantially to its revision. WBG takes ultimate responsibility for the paper as a whole.

Detailed statistical analysis 

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Because enrollment criteria and baseline data in GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III were identical, these databases were combined to maximize power for the analysis. Descriptive statistics are presented as percentages for discrete variables and medians with 25th and 75th percentiles for continuous variables. A P value less than .05 was considered significant. All analyses were performed using SAS (SAS, Cary, NC) statistical procedures.

Patients were omitted from statistical analyses of timing outcomes when the time was greater than 6 hours in length. This included the outcomes of hours from onset of symptoms to hospital arrival, hospital arrival to lytic, or onset of symptoms to lytic. Thus, of the 27,849 total US patients, 26,128 were used in analyzing time to hospital arrival from symptom onset, 26,107 patients for analyses of time to treatment from hospital arrival, and 25,726 for analyses of time from symptom onset to treatment. For illustrative purposes, tables present both time to hospital arrival and time to treatment from hospital arrival in clinically relevant categories. However, all statistical testing was performed using the continuous distribution of these variables. Univariate P values were attained using nonparametric measures (Wilcoxon rank sum test for categorical predictors and Cox proportional hazards for continuous predictors).

The demographic characteristics of age, sex, race, previous angina, previous infarction, previous angioplasty, previous coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), hypertension, current smoker, systolic blood pressure, and pulse rate were prespecified as factors that may have impact on time to hospital arrival from symptom onset and time to treatment from hospital arrival. The multivariate relationship between these variables and the timing of events was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards models. Cubic spline transformations were used as a flexible method of checking the assumption of linearity between the continuous predictors and the log hazard ratio. Appropriate transformations were applied in the Cox modeling process as needed. In predicting time to hospital arrival from symptom onset, age was analyzed using a linear spline. Systolic blood pressure, pulse rate, and age were modeled using linear splines to predict time to treatment from hospital arrival. Socioeconomic factors (having completed high school or college, years of education, primary occupation, type of insurance, and living alone) were collected only in GUSTO-III. The same baseline factors as described previously were applied to this study alone, along with the inclusion of the socioeconomic factors to evaluate time from onset of symptoms to hospital arrival and time from hospital arrival to treatment. Insurance categories were not mutually exclusive, and patients were allowed to select multiple types of insurance.

The relationships between factors, time from onset of symptoms to hospital arrival and time from hospital arrival to treatment, and the clinical outcomes, inhospital mortality, and 30-day mortality, were assessed using logistic regression modeling techniques. The assumption of linearity between these times and the logit of the outcomes was evaluated using cubic spline transformations. These relationships were found to be linear in nature.

Table 1a.

GUSTO-I and GUSTO-III baseline characteristics and mortality. *

CharacteristicGUSTO-I (n=23,105)GUSTO-III (n=4,744)
Age, y61.1 (51.5, 69.8)61.5 (51.5, 71.2)
Female sex6,278 (27.2)1,346 (29.7)
Weight, kg80.2 (70.1, 91)81.8 (71, 93)
Height, cm172.7 (165.1, 180)172 (165, 179)
Race
Black1,113 (4.8)222 (4.9)
Other962 (4.2)199 (4.4)
White20,962 (91.0)4,108 (90.7)
Hypertension9,821 (42.7)1,994 (44.0)
Diabetes mellitus3,820 (16.6)819 (18.1)
Hypercholesterolemia8,473 (37.9)1,873 (41.5)
Previous myocardial infarction3,943 (17.1)809 (17.9)
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg126 (110, 142)133 (116, 150)
Pulse rate, beats/min74 (63, 86)74 (62, 87)
Killip class
I19,950 (87.1)4,092 (91.4)
II2,507 (11.0)334 (7.5)
III250 (1.1)32 (0.71)
IV187 (0.82)21 (0.47)
Anterior infarction8,591 (37.4)1,994 (44.0)
Inferior infarction13,694 (59.6)2,385 (52.6)
Inhospital mortality1,495 (6.5)246 (5.4)
Mortality by 30 d1,562 (6.8)286 (6.3)
*Results are expressed as numbers (percentages) or median (25th, 75th percentiles).
Table 2a.

Combined GUSTO trials: Characteristics associated with delay from symptom onset to hospital arrival.

Characteristic0 to 2 Hours* (n=17,426)2 to 4 Hours* (n=6,989)>4 Hours* (n=1,713)Wald χ2†P ValueRisk Ratio (95% CI)
Age, y§60 (51, 69)63 (53, 71)63 (54, 72)173.96<.0001≤40: 0.823 (0.726–0.932)
>40: 0.917 (0.807–1.043)
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg§127 (111, 142)130 (113, 147)130 (116,147)51.13<.00010.980 (0.975–0.985)
Pulse rate, beats/min§73 (62, 85)75 (64, 88)78 (66, 91)110.87<.00010.960 (0.953–0.967)
Men§75696824.68<.00011.08 (1.05–1.11)
Race 12.72<.0001
White§929089 1.0 (—)
Black§466 0.91 (0.86–0.97)
Other344 0.94 (0.88–1.0)
Diabetes§15192128.25<.00010.91 (0.88–0.94)
Hypertension§4145467.17.00740.96 (0.94–0.99)
Current smoker§4542417.07.00780.96 (0.94–0.99)
Hypercholesterolemiall3938382.74.098102 (1.00–1.05)
Myocardial infarction location 12.13.0023
Anterior383840 1.0 (—)
Inferior595958 0.96 (0.93–0.98)
Other333 0.99 (0.93–1.08)
Previous angina§34364039.17<.00010.91 (0.89–0.94)
Previous infarctionll17161518.88<.00011.09 (1.05–1.13)
Previous angioplasty§75414.74<.00011.11 (1.06–1.19)
Previous CABG6552.5.11741.05 (0.99–1.11)
In GUSTO-III1816188.26.00411.05 (1.02–1.08)
*Data are presented as median (25th, 75th percentiles) or percentage of patients. For the continuous variables, the risk ratio is reporting a difference in 10 units. §Univariate P values <.0001. llUnivariate P values <.05.

Wald χ2 is attained for the multivariate model.

Table 2b.

Combined GUSTO trials: Mortality information and time from symptom onset to hospital arrival.

Mortality Information0 to 2 Hours (n=17,426)2 to 4 Hours (n=6,989)>4 Hours (n=1,713)Wald χ2*P ValueRisk Ratio (95% CI)
Inhospital mortality, %67842.013<.00010.875 (0.840–0.911)
Death by 30 d, %68944.519<.00010.875 (0.841–0.910)
Univariate P values <.0001.

*Wald χ2 is attained from Proc Logistic (SAS, Cary, NC). Time to hospital arrival was modeled linearly.

Table 2c.

The GUSTO-III trial: Characteristics associated with delay from symptom onset to hospital arrival.

Characteristic0 to 2 Hours* (n=3,087)2 to 4 Hours* (n=1,146)>4 Hours* (n=303)Wald χ2†P ValueRisk Ratio (95% CI)
Age, y§60 (50, 70)64 (53, 73)64 (55, 74)43.5<.0001≤40: 0.811 (0.598–1.099)
>40: 0.907 (0.881–0.934)
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg§131 (114, 149)137 (118, 154)138 (122, 154)28.3<.00010.967 (0.955–0.979)
Pulse rate, beats/min§72 (62, 85)76 (64, 89)78 (66, 90)16.3<.00010.964 (0.947–0.981)
Men§73666510.1.00151.12 (1.04–1.20)
Race 6.39.041
White928989 1.0 (—)
Black§576 0.85 (0.74–0.97)
Other344 0.93 (0.81–1.08)
Diabetes§1620244.68.03050.92 (0.85–0.99)
Hypertension4445452.64.10421.05 (0.99–1.12)
Current smokerll4642370.62.42960.97 (0.91–1.04)
Hypercholesterolemia4241420.44.50591.02 (0.96–1.09)
Myocardial infarction location 5.51.0636
Anterior444441 1.0 (—)
Inferior535257 0.95 (0.89–1.01)
Other331 1.11 (0.94–1.31)
Previous anginall3743367.77.00530.91 (0.85–0.97)
Previous infarctionll1916148.86.00291.15 (1.05–1.26)
Previous angioplastyll11866.05.01391.16 (1.03–1.30)
Previous CABG6570.52.47210.95 (0.83–1.09)
*Data are median (25th, 75th percentiles) or percentage of patients. For the continuous variables, the risk ratio is reporting a difference in 10 units. §Univariate P values <.0001. llUnivariate P values <.05.

Wald χ2 is attained for the multivariate model.

Table 2d.

The GUSTO-III trial: Mortality information and time from symptom onset to hospital arrival.

Mortality Information0 to 2 Hours (n=3,087)2 to 4 Hours (n=1,146)>4 Hours (n=303)Wald χ2*P ValueRisk Ratio (95% CI)
Inhospital mortality, %57810.822.00100.846 (0.765–0.934)
Death by 30 d, %59810.600.00110.856 (0.779–0.940)
Univariate P values <.05.

*Wald χ2 is attained from Proc Logistic (SAS, Cary, NC). Time to hospital arrival was modeled linearly.

Table 2e.

The GUSTO-III trial: Socioeconomic factors and time from symptom onset to hospital arrival.

Socioeconomic Factor0 to 2 Hours* (n=3,087)2 to 4 Hours* (n=1,146)>4 Hours* (n=303)Wald χ2†P ValueRisk Ratio (95% CI)
Years of education12 (12, 14)12 (11, 13)12 (11, 14)0.028.86700.998 (0.980–1.017)
Education 5.11.0776
Completed high school454545 1.052 (0.949–1.167)
Completed college§302326 1.179 (1.011–1.375)
Completed neither253229 1.0 (—)
Occupation 14.39.0062
Manager§251820 1.0 (—)
Homemaker101111 0.995 (0.869–1.138)
Laborer353838 0.868 (0.799–0.943)
Craftsperson999 0.854 (0.755–0.966)
Clerical192120 0.932 (0.846–1.028)
Type of insurance
Private6461580.17.67761.016 (0.943–1.094)
Public§3644440.21.64860.980 (0.901–1.067)
Other2241.22.26900.890 (0.724–1.094)
Lives alone§1821243.52.06070.928 (0.858–1.003)
*Data are median (25th, 75th percentiles) or percentage of patients. Univariate P values <.05. §Univariate P values <.0001.

Wald χ2 is attained for the multivariate models including baseline characteristics and individual socioeconomic factor.

Table 3a.

Combined GUSTO trials: Characteristics associated with delays in treatment after hospital arrival.

Characteristic0 to 1 Hour* (n=12,159)>1 Hour* (n=13,948)Wald χ2†P ValueRisk Ratio‡ (95% CI)
Age, y§60 (51,69)62 (52,71)65.47<.0001≤45:0.799 (0.747 -0.856)
>45:0.954 (0.833 -1.094)
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hg§128 (111,144)128 (112,143)50.58<.0001≤110:1.045 (1.025 -1.066),>110:1.024 (1.017 -1.031)
Pulse rate, beats/min §72 (62,85)74 (64,87)94.46<.0001≤65:1.112 (1.081 -1.144),>65:0.986 (0.977 -0.996)
Men§776979.37<.00011.144 (1.111 -1.178)
Race 111.99<.0001
White§9390 1.0 (—)
Black§46 0.732 (0.689 -0.777)
Other34 0.905 (0.850 -0.964)
Diabetes§141939.63<.00010.894 (0.863 -0.926)
Hypertension§394530.25<.00010.928 (0.904 -0.953)
Current smoker§474128.77<.00011.080 (1.050 -1.111)
Hypercholesterolemia40383.16.07521.024 (0.998 -1.052)
Myocardial infarction location 133.44<.0001
Anterior§3739 1.0 (—)
Inferior§6157 1.088 (1.060 -1.117)
Other§24 0.731 (0.678 -0.788)
Previous angina§323871.04<.00010.887 (0.862 -0.912)
Previous infarction§15187.10.00770.949 (0.914 -0.986)
Previous PTCA662.016.15571.042 (0.985 -1.102)
Previous CABG§5611.25.00080.904 (0.852 -0.959)
In GUSTO-III§25101027<.00011.718 (1.662 -1.776)
Wald χ2 is attained for the multivariate model. For the continuous variables,the risk ratio is reporting a difference in 10 units. §Univariate P values <.0001. Univariate P values <.05.

*Data are median (25th,75th percentiles)or percentage of patients.

Table 3b.

Combined GUSTO trials: Mortality information and time to treatment after hospital arrival.

Mortality Information0 to 1 Hour (n=12,159)>1 Hour (n=13,948)Wald χ2*P ValueRisk Ratio (95% CI)
Inhospital mortality, %5738.688<.00010.833 (0.787–0.883)
Death by 30 d, %5735.849<.00010.842 (0.796–0.891)
Univariate P values <.0001.

*Wald χ2 is attained from Proc Logistic (SAS, Cary, NC). Time to treatment from hospital arrival was modeled linearly.

Table 3c.

The GUSTO-III trial: Characteristics associated with delays in treatment after hospital arrival.

Characteristic0 to 1 Hour* (n=3,034)>1 Hour* (n=1,435)Wald χ2†P ValueRisk Ratio (95% CI)
Age, y§60 (51, 70)64 (53, 73)18.84<.0001≤45: 0.744 (0.632–0.875) >45: 0.578 (0.560–0.596)
Systolic blood pressure, mm Hgll133 (116, 150)134 (116, 150)14.33.0008≤110: 1.080 (1.027–1.136) >110: 1.026 (1.010–1.042)
Pulse rate, beats/minll74 (62, 86)75 (64, 88)9.89.0071≤65: 1.071 (1.003–1.144) >65: 0.985 (0.963–1.007)
Men§736515.73<.00011.150 (1.073–1.232)
Race 36.15<.0001
White§9288 1.0 (—)
Black§47 0.652 (0.566–0.750)
Other34 0.915 (0.790–1.059)
Diabetes§16214.79.02870.914 (0.843–0.991)
Hypertension§42482.45.11780.951 (0.892–1.013)
Current smoker§47389.06.00261.110 (1.037–1.187)
Hypercholesterolemia43394.06.04381.067 (1.002–1.136)
Myocardial infarction location 37.29<.0001
Anterior§4248 1.0 (—)
Inferior§5647 1.122 (1.055–1.193)
Other§24 0.705 (0.596–0.835)
Previous angina§364513.02.00030.884 (0.827–0.945)
Previous infarction§16211.36.24280.947 (0.863–1.038)
Previous PTCA9102.10.14701.088 (0.971–1.220)
Previous CABGll572.07.15010.903 (0.785–1.038)
*Data are median (25th, 75th percentiles) or percentage of patients. For the continuous variables, the risk ratio is reporting a difference in 10 units. §Univariate P values <.0001. llUnivariate P values <.05.

Wald χ2 is attained for the multivariate model.

Table 3d.

The GUSTO-III trial: Socioeconomic factors and time to treatment after hospital arrival.

Socioeconomic Factor0 to 1 Hour* (n=3,034)>1 Hour* (n=1,514)Wald χ2†P ValueRisk Ratio (95% CI)
Years of education12 (12, 14)12 (11, 13)2.15.14200.986 (0.968–1.005)
Education 7.12.0285
Completed high school4645 1.039 (0.938–1.151)
Completed college2826 1.192 (1.026–1.383)
Completed neither2630 1.0 (—)
Occupation 4.03.4022
Manager2420 1.0 (—)
Homemaker912 1.017 (0.889–1.165)
Laborer3636 0.935 (0.861–1.016)
Craftsperson98 0.984 (0.869–1.114)
Clerical1921 0.943 (0.855–1.040)
Type of insurance
Private65590.01.92031.004 (0.932–1.081)
Public36450.41.51990.972 (0.892–1.059)
Other230.29.59120.945 (0.768–1.162)
Lives alone19200.0003.98661.001 (0.925–1.083)
*Data are median (25th, 75th percentiles) or percentage of patients. Univariate P values <.05.

Wald χ2 is attained for the multivariate models including baseline characteristics and individual socioeconomic factor.

Table 3e.

The GUSTO-III trial: Mortality information and time to treatment after hospital arrival.

Mortality Information0 to 1 Hour (n=3,034)>1 Hour (n=1,435)Wald χ2*P ValueRisk Ratio (95% CI)
Inhospital mortality, %488.853.00290.786 (0.671–0.921)
Death by 30 d, %599.546.00200.790 (0.681–0.918)
*Wald χ2 is attained from Proc Logistic (SAS, Cary, NC). Time to treatment from hospital arrival was modeled linearly. Univariate P values <.05.

References 

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From the Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati OH*; the Department of Medicine, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada; Duke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, NC§; Heart and Vascular Institute, Henry Ford Health System, Detroit, MI; the Department of Medicine, University of Massachusetts Medical Center, Worcester, MA; and the Cleveland Clinic Foundation, Cleveland, OH.#

 Author contributions are provided at the end of this article.

☆☆ Address for reprints: W. Brian Gibler, MD, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, 231 Albert Sabin Way, Cincinnati, OH 45267-0769; 513-558-8086, fax 513-558-4599;,E-mail brian.gibler@uc.edu .

PII: S0196-0644(02)51793-5

doi:10.1067/mem.2002.121402

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